UK · £/tonne · AI-forecasted
Granular Urea Price, UK
UK granular urea (46% N) price, AI-forecasted, £/tonne. Indicative, forecasted and not a transactable quote.
What the nutrient costs
The headline price is per tonne of product. This is the price of the nutrient inside it.
Per kilogram of nitrogen, Granular Urea currently costs 26% less than Ammonium Nitrate (£1.26/kg N).
Price trend
How the daily forecast has moved over the last 12 months. The shaded band is the confidence range; the marker is today.
Month-on-month change
How much the daily forecast moved from one month to the next. Green is a rise, tan a fall.
Build the index
Report what you paid for Granular Urea
Add your last Granular Urea purchase (tonnage and price) and see instantly whether you paid above or below the going rate. Every report sharpens the daily forecast, and no supplier ever sees who you are.
Monthly price history
The daily forecast's level at the end of each of the last twelve months.
| Month | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| August 2026 | £429 | −£13 |
| July 2026 | £442 | −£5 |
| June 2026 | £446 | −£141 |
| May 2026 | £587 | −£98 |
| April 2026 | £685 | −£131 |
| March 2026 | £816 | +£349 |
| February 2026 | £467 | −£3 |
| January 2026 | £470 | +£11 |
| December 2025 | £459 | −£11 |
| November 2025 | £470 | +£56 |
| October 2025 | £414 | +£9 |
| September 2025 | £405 | n/a |
Granular Urea has fallen £136/t (21.5%) over the past quarter.
Our modelled price band for Granular Urea is currently wide, roughly ±6%. Our model has landed within £37/t on 5 of its last 10 checks against the market. Compared with the average of the other tracked grades, Granular Urea is currently £19/t above.
Our forecast vs the official UK index
Our daily forecast and the official DEFRA index have told the same story for 12 months.
The official figure confirms each move about 14 weeks after our daily forecast shows it.
Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Source: DEFRA Agricultural Price Indices.
About this grade
Granular urea carries more nitrogen per tonne than any other solid straight fertiliser at 46%, which usually makes it the cheapest way to buy a kilogram of nitrogen. The trade off is that urea must convert in the soil before the crop can use it, and some nitrogen can be lost to the air if it is spread onto a dry surface and no rain follows.
Common questions
- Is urea really cheaper than ammonium nitrate?
- Per kilogram of nitrogen it very often is. Whether it is cheaper in the field depends on how much nitrogen you lose to volatilisation, which varies with weather, soil and whether the granule is treated with a urease inhibitor.
- What moves the urea price?
- Urea is a globally traded commodity, so the UK price follows the international market rather than domestic supply. Gas prices in the large exporting regions, export policy in the biggest producing countries, and freight rates all feed through. UK prices track landed import cost closely.
- Why does the urea price move more sharply than ammonium nitrate?
- Because it is set on a world market with a small number of very large exporters. A policy change or an outage in one exporting country can move the global price quickly, and the UK, which imports almost all its urea, imports that volatility with it.
- Where does the daily price come from?
- It is produced every day by our forecasting model, and the model is re-validated continuously against weekly UK market prints: a grade publishes a modelled figure only while it beats a naive hold-the-last-price baseline on months it has never seen. The shaded band around the line on the chart is the confidence range of the estimate.
- Methodology and the signals behind each grade →
Buying guides
Compare grades
Today's price and recent trend for the other tracked grades.
AI-forecasted market estimates, getting sharper as farmers add what they paid. Indicative, not a transactable quote.