UK · £/tonne · AI-forecasted
Ammonium Nitrate (Imported) Price, UK
UK imported ammonium nitrate (34.5% N) price, AI-forecasted, £/tonne. Indicative, forecasted and not a transactable quote.
What the nutrient costs
The headline price is per tonne of product. This is the price of the nutrient inside it.
Price trend
How the daily forecast has moved over the last 12 months. The shaded band is the confidence range; the marker is today.
Month-on-month change
How much the daily forecast moved from one month to the next. Green is a rise, tan a fall.
Build the index
Report what you paid for Ammonium Nitrate (Imported)
Add your last Ammonium Nitrate (Imported) purchase (tonnage and price) and see instantly whether you paid above or below the going rate. Every report sharpens the daily forecast, and no supplier ever sees who you are.
Monthly price history
The daily forecast's level at the end of each of the last twelve months.
| Month | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| August 2026 | £440 | +£6 |
| July 2026 | £434 | −£6 |
| June 2026 | £439 | −£38 |
| May 2026 | £477 | −£73 |
| April 2026 | £551 | −£76 |
| March 2026 | £627 | +£215 |
| February 2026 | £411 | +£0 |
| January 2026 | £411 | +£8 |
| December 2025 | £403 | −£14 |
| November 2025 | £417 | +£32 |
| October 2025 | £385 | +£6 |
| September 2025 | £379 | n/a |
Over the past quarter, Ammonium Nitrate (Imported) has fallen £52/t (10.1%).
The current modelled uncertainty band is wide, about ±4%. Our model's typical Ammonium Nitrate (Imported) miss is £22/t, with 4 of its last 10 checks landing inside the published range. Ammonium Nitrate (Imported) is £20/t below the average of the other tracked grades.
Our forecast vs the official UK index
Our daily forecast and the official DEFRA index have told the same story for 12 months.
The official figure confirms each move about 15 weeks after our daily forecast shows it.
Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Source: DEFRA Agricultural Price Indices.
About this grade
This is ammonium nitrate landed into the UK from overseas rather than manufactured here. Chemically it does the same job as the domestic product, and the two prices track each other closely, but the imported grade is priced off landed cost and freight rather than off a UK production cost, so the spread between them opens and closes with shipping and currency.
Common questions
- Why track imported ammonium nitrate separately?
- Because the spread between imported and domestic material is one of the more informative numbers on this site. When imports land cheaply the domestic price comes under pressure, and when the spread is wide it tends to close. Watching both series together says more than watching either alone.
- Why is there no cost per kilogram of nitrogen shown?
- Because the nitrogen content of imported ammonium nitrate varies with its origin, and we will not publish a per kilogram figure derived from an analysis we have not confirmed. Where an analysis is unambiguous, as with the UK produced grade, the figure is shown.
- Is it the same product?
- It is the same compound, and it is spread the same way. What differs is the supply chain behind it, and therefore what moves its price: freight, exchange rates and the export economics of the producing country, rather than UK gas and UK plant availability.
- Where does the daily price come from?
- It is produced every day by our forecasting model, and the model is re-validated continuously against weekly UK market prints: a grade publishes a modelled figure only while it beats a naive hold-the-last-price baseline on months it has never seen. The shaded band around the line on the chart is the confidence range of the estimate.
- Methodology and the signals behind each grade →
Buying guides
Compare grades
Today's price and recent trend for the other tracked grades.
AI-forecasted market estimates, getting sharper as farmers add what they paid. Indicative, not a transactable quote.