UK · £/tonne · AI-forecasted

UAN Price, UK

UK UAN (30% N liquid nitrogen) price, AI-forecasted, £/tonne. Indicative, forecasted and not a transactable quote.

Price today£382/tAs of 2026-08-16
1-week▼ −£11
1-month▲ +£34
1-year▲ +£62
52-week range£319–£466mid-range
Uncertainty±10%
Typical miss£16/tmedian of recent checks

What the nutrient costs

The headline price is per tonne of product. This is the price of the nutrient inside it.

Price trend

How the daily forecast has moved over the last 12 months. The shaded band is the confidence range; the marker is today.

Month-on-month change

How much the daily forecast moved from one month to the next. Green is a rise, tan a fall.

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Monthly price history

The daily forecast's level at the end of each of the last twelve months.

UAN month-end daily forecast, £ per tonne
MonthPriceChange
August 2026£382+£17
July 2026£365−£60
June 2026£425−£16
May 2026£442−£21
April 2026£462+£42
March 2026£420+£75
February 2026£345+£5
January 2026£340+£3
December 2025£337+£7
November 2025£330+£6
October 2025£324+£3
September 2025£321n/a

UAN has fallen £65/t (14.3%) over the past quarter.

Our modelled price band for UAN is currently wide, roughly ±10%. Across its last 10 market checks, our UAN estimate has a median miss of £16/t, and 7 landed inside the published range. Compared with the average of the other tracked grades, UAN is currently £97/t below.

Our forecast vs the official UK index

Our daily forecast and the official DEFRA index have told the same story for 12 months.

The official figure confirms each move about 15 weeks after our daily forecast shows it.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Source: DEFRA Agricultural Price Indices.

About this grade

Urea ammonium nitrate is a liquid nitrogen fertiliser, applied through a sprayer rather than a spinner. It appeals to farms that already have the sprayer capacity, because application is more even than spreading a solid and tramline accuracy is easier to hold, and it removes the handling of bags entirely.

Common questions

How does UAN compare on price with solid nitrogen?
It has to be compared per kilogram of nitrogen, never per tonne, because a tonne of UAN is mostly water. That is also why we do not publish a per kilogram figure here yet: UK UAN is sold at more than one nitrogen concentration, and using the wrong one would mislead.
What moves the UAN price?
It is made from urea and ammonium nitrate, so it follows both, and through them it follows gas. It is traded internationally and the UK price reflects landed cost.
What are the drawbacks?
It needs sprayer capacity at the times of year the sprayer is already busy, it needs dedicated storage, and it can scorch the leaf if it is applied in the wrong conditions. Against that, application is accurate and there are no bags to handle.
Where does the daily price come from?
It is produced every day by our forecasting model, and the model is re-validated continuously against weekly UK market prints: a grade publishes a modelled figure only while it beats a naive hold-the-last-price baseline on months it has never seen. The shaded band around the line on the chart is the confidence range of the estimate.
Methodology and the signals behind each grade →

Buying guides

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Today's price and recent trend for the other tracked grades.

AI-forecasted market estimates, getting sharper as farmers add what they paid. Indicative, not a transactable quote.